Conventions should give their nominee a nearly 10 point bump.
Whatever that turns out to be, it should be at least 10.
If there is a 6 point lead, it should be nearly 16.
If there is a 2 point lead, it should be 12.
We will see what lead Obama reaps from the convention, but my guess is - it will not be near 10.
The leap may well be between 6-8 points. Not very good.
And now comes McCain.
Not a good position to be in - so much can change in a week.
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