Showing posts with label global warming. Show all posts
Showing posts with label global warming. Show all posts

Thursday, June 1, 2017

The Science of Global Warming

The Arctic Ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer and in some places the seals are finding the water too hot, according to a report to the Commerce Department yesterday from Consulate at Bergen Norway
Reports from fishermen, seal hunters and explorers all point to a radical change in climate conditions and hitherto unheard-of temperatures in the Arctic zone.
Exploration expeditions report that scarcely any ice has been met as far north as 81 degrees 29 minutes.
Soundings to a depth of 3,100 meters showed the Gulf Stream still very warm.
Great masses of ice have been replaced by moraines of earth and stones, the report continued, while at many points well known glaciers have entirely disappeared.
Very few seals and no white fish are found in the eastern Arctic, while vast shoals of herring and smelt which have never before ventured so far north, are being encountered in the old seal fishing grounds.
Within a few years it is predicted that due to the ice melt the sea will rise and make most coastal cities uninhabitable.
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This report was from November 2, 1922, as reported by the AP and published in The Washington Post - 94 years ago.



There are very fair and reasonable articles by well-respected climatologists who avoid fear-mongering - most notably an article I have posted by James Lovelock.






Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Paris Climate Accords: The UN and All Those Special Nations





So, Trump is going to pull out ... the way the headlines express it, we must be leaving something sacrosanct ... like abandoning baby Jesus.

Yeah, nothing that simple or unimportant - this is colossal - with the US pulling out, the world will collapse.  With the US exiting the climate accords Obama just unilaterally forced us into less than a couple years ago ... and suddenly the fact Trump is canceling our involvement will make the world less safe.

I often wonder if writers truly believe the rubbish they publish, or do they try to convince themselves they are actually making the world a better placed.

So the following have ratified it -



AFGHANISTAN  - I can only wonder how they ratified!


ALBANIA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


ALGERIA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


ANDORRA


ANGOLA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA


ARGENTINA


ARMENIA


AUSTRALIA


AUSTRIA


AZERBAIJAN - I can only wonder how they ratified!


BAHAMAS


BAHRAIN


BANGLADESH


BARBADOS


BELARUS


BELGIUM


BELIZE


BENIN


BHUTAN


BOLIVIA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA


BOTSWANA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


BRAZIL


BRUNEI DARUSSALAM - I can only wonder how they ratified!


BULGARIA 


BURKINA FASO


BURUNDI


CABO VERDE


CAMBODIA


CAMEROON


CANADA


CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC


CHAD


CHILE


CHINA 


COLOMBIA


COMOROS


CONGO - I can only wonder how they ratified!


COOK ISLANDS


COSTA RICA


COTE D'IVOIRE


CROATIA


CUBA


CYPRUS


CZECH REPUBLIC


DEMOCRATIC PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA


DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO


DENMARK 


DJIBOUTI


DOMINICA


DOMINICAN REPUBLIC


ECUADOR


EGYPT


EL SALVADOR


EQUATORIAL GUINEA


ERITREA


ESTONIA


ETHIOPIA


EUROPEAN UNION*


FIJI


FINLAND


FRANCE


GABON


GAMBIA


GEORGIA


GERMANY


GHANA


GREECE


GRENADA


GUATEMALA


GUINEA


GUINEA-BISSAU


GUYANA


HAITI


HONDURAS


HUNGARY


ICELAND


INDIA*


INDONESIA


IRAN (ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF)


IRAQ


IRELAND


ISRAEL


ITALY


JAMAICA


JAPAN


JORDAN


KAZAKHASTAN


KENYA


KIRIBATI


KUWAIT


KYRGYZSTAN


LAO PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC


LATVIA


LEBANON


LESOTHO


LIBERIA


LIBYA


LIECHTENSTEIN


LITHUANIA


LUXEMBOURG


MADAGASCAR


MALAWI


MALAYSIA


MALDIVES


MALI


MALTA


MARSHALL ISLANDS*


MAURITANIA


MAURITIUS


MEXICO*


MICRONESIA* (FEDERATED STATES OF)


MONACO


MONGOLIA


MONTENEGRO


MOROCCO


MOZAMBIQUE


MYANMAR


NAMIBIA


NAURU*


NEPAL


NETHERLANDS


NEW ZEALAND (2)


NIGER


NIGERIA


NIUE*


NORWAY


OMAN


PAKISTAN


PALAU


PANAMA


PAPUA NEW GUINEA


PARAGUAY


PERU


PHILIPPINES*


POLAND*


PORTUGAL


QATAR


REPUBLIC OF KOREA


REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA


ROMANIA


RUSSIAN FEDERATION


RWANDA


SAINT KITTS AND NEVIS


SAINT LUCIA


SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES


SAMOA


SAN MARINO


SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE


SAUDI ARABIA


SENEGAL


SERBIA


SEYCHELLES


SIERRA LEONE


SINGAPORE


SLOVAKIA


SLOVENIA


SOLOMON ISLANDS*


SOMALIA


SOUTH AFRICA


SOUTH SUDAN


SPAIN*


SRI LANKA


STATE OF PALESTINE


SUDAN


SURINAME


SWAZILAND


SWEDEN


SWITZERLAND


TAJIKISTAN


THAILAND


THE FORMER YUGOSLAV REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA


TIMOR-LESTE


TOGO


TONGA


TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO


TUNISIA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


TURKEY - I can only wonder how they ratified!


TURKMENISTAN - I can only wonder how they ratified!


TUVALU*


UGANDA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


UKRAINE


UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - I can only wonder how they ratified!


UNITED KINGDOM OF GREAT BRITAIN AND NORTHERN IRELAND


UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA 


UNITED STATES OF AMERICA


URUGUAY


UZBEKISTAN - I can only wonder how they ratified!


VANUATU 


VENEZUELA (BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF)


VIET NAM


YEMEN - I can only wonder how they ratified!


ZAMBIA - I can only wonder how they ratified!


ZIMBABWE  - I can only wonder how they ratified!




So ... how does it work.  Well, caps and limits.  Everyone will reduce their emissions by X amount %.


For say, Zimbabwe, it must reduce by 20% ... but Zimbabwe doesnt have much to reduce.  If they reduce anything, it will not dramatically affect anything in Zimbabwe.


If they reduce, $$ is available.  So everyone goes into this treaty with X amount of emissions permissible as determined by the average overall emission levels ...

Some countries will come in a little under and others way way under (Afghanistan). 

Some countries will produce a lot ... say Russia, which could then buy the credits to balance out.  This is a transfer of wealth from Russia to Afghanistan or Zimbabwe or any one of the multitude who signed on to get some free money.

But if you are part of a larger unit ... say the EU, you have to average out the total .. between countries who have little production and those who have a great deal (Denmark, Norway and say Germany).  The US meanwhile has to reduce its output by 20-30% ... which means production and industry suffer, unemployment increases, and our GNP drops, our wealth drops ... while the EU thrives even while Germany could in theory be exceeding its limits, overall it will average within the EU.


The same would go for China - the worst polluter.  1st world countries as measured by limits defined in the treaty, would be required to reduce and cut, while growing nations would receive $$$ paid by nations who exceed their limits.  Again, redistribution of wealth from US to the UN and then to THEM.  And the worst polluters would not stop - China would be given a great deal of leeway to pollute and receive $$ to modernize.


Would all of this make the world less polluted?  VERY SLIGHTLY.


What then is the point?  To weaken the US as it permits other countries to utilize money we are forced to provide to cut emissions while our economy is catastrophically changed to one where we all produce solar panels or end up jobless paid with benefits derived from an increasing tax base because we have to fund NATO without equal assistance from all involved, fund the global climate accord because no one else will ...




And they wonder why many Americans want to pull out?  And why so many other Americans want to stay in, and don't understand why they support it other than it sounds good!


[While the exact specifics are not exactly what I have listed above, I have generalized and simplified a lot.  I do however, believe everything is accurate.]



The LEFT has become unhinged

The link above is a fantasmic buffet of the delusional democrats on display.

Lunacy.  Do they even know what the document says???

Billions - that is ALL they are interested in.  And political types who want to sign on ... are twats.

From NPR:

Under the Paris accord, the U.S. sent some $1 billion to the Green Climate Fund that is guided by the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change — the body that coordinates international climate policy. The U.S. was supposed to provide an additional $2 billion, but Trump has balked at that idea, and his proposed budget includes cuts to international climate programs.








































Friday, December 30, 2016

I believe ... I believe ...

I believe in love, love, love, love, love!
When you can't see the forest for the trees,
follow the colors of your dreams
just turn to friends their help transcends to love, love, love, love, love

The winter's finally passing on,
the king is back, the queen is gone,
come dance with me cause now we're free to love, love, love, love, love.

(from the movie - Mirror Mirror)

I believe ...

One can believe in LOVE or HATE or one may even believe in leprechauns, but one doesn't believe in science.  Science is not a belief nor is it within the realm of beliefs.  It is.  Simply. Factually.  Without question, science, is.

Hillary Clinton made a big deal, as did her followers, at the Democratic National Convention, that she believed in science.  Patronizing and not true.




The source for the material below is from this link.

What are the facts in the climate science debate?
  • Average global surface temperatures have overall increased for the past 100+ years
  • Carbon dioxide has an infrared emission spectra
  • Humans have been adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.
That is pretty much it, in terms of verifiable, generally agreed upon scientific facts surrounding the major elements of climate change debate.

Human caused global warming is a theory. The assertion that human caused global warming is dangerous is an hypothesis.  The assertion that nearly all or most of the warming since 1950 has been caused by humans is disputed by many scientists, in spite of the highly confident consensus statement by the IPCC. The issue of ‘dangerous’ climate change is wrapped up in values, and science has next to nothing to say about this.

Truthiness and factiness abounds in the climate science debate, and the greatest proponents of truthiness and factiness are the climate ‘alarmed’ – their opponents are mostly calling b.s. on their truthiness and factiness.  In slinging around terms like denier, anti-science etc, the defense of climate alarmism in terms of ‘science’ and ‘facts’ starts to become more anti-science than what they are accusing their opponents of.

From the Rational Wiki:

The term “antiscience” refers to persons or organizations that promote their ideology over scientifically-verified evidence, usually either by denying said evidence and/or creating their own. Antiscience positions are promoted especially when political ideology and/or religious dogma conflict with actual science. 

The most glaring ‘factiness’ and anti-science strategy is the linking of extreme weather events to human caused climate change.  Roger Pielke Jr has an eloquent op-ed in the WSJ (unfortunately behind paywall, which I will have more to say about in another post next week).

So . . . who fits the definition of ‘anti-science’?  Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?  Ignoring science (Trump) does not qualify him for ‘anti-science’.  Science does not prescribe public policy.  The political dogma of Obama, Clinton and Pope Francis surrounding climate change seems like more of a recipe for ‘anti-science.’


SO .... to repeat (emphasis is mine) -

"who fits the definition of ‘anti-science’?  Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?  Ignoring science (Trump) does not qualify him for ‘anti-science’.  Science does not prescribe public policy.  The political dogma of Obama, Clinton and Pope Francis surrounding climate change seems like more of a recipe for ‘anti-science.’"


And I would go one step further, and 'defend' or 'explain' Trump, not that he needs it ... he is the President of the United States -

He doesn't ignore science, he simply questions whether humans have much/any impact on climate change. And how much if any.

That is not anti science.  That is not someone who disagrees with science or the facts, he questions how much if any impact humans have.  That would be reasonable to ask.  








Sunday, December 18, 2016

Global Warming/Cooling and Change: DiCaprio and the Rest of the Useless Lot

The facts are in and the strange thing about facts is, no matter what you may believe, facts are facts and no rational person can disagree with facts - we can all have an opinion, but we are not entitled to our own facts ...

- global warming, climate change is occurring and no responsible scientist believes otherwise.


I really do like their argument strategy. 

First, state something we all agree with - facts are facts and we are entitled to an opinion but not our own facts.

Second, phrase the statement in such a way that disagreeing with it places you at odds with: reason, science, logic, intelligence, responsibility, decency, humanity ...

Finally, make your claim.

Link them all together and ta da ... who can possibly disagree.

Leonardo DiCaprio, Mr. Earth himself, although I think Mr Gore needs to turn over that mantle to Leo first ... made the following statement at a UN awards ceremony on 12/16/16:

"There are a few, very prominent people that still deny the overwhelming conclusions of the world's scientists that climate change is largely human-caused and needs immediate urgent attention."


Well.  Hmm.  Let's see.

NO ONE I HAVE EVER HEARD OR READ STATEMENTS BY, denies climate change.  No one.  Not even Mr. Trump, although listening to the leftists and their agents for change, you'd think he actually has and did.

Once more - NO ONE denies climate change is occurring.

However, that fact does not equal - human causation.  It's a trick and easily done when you don't pay attention.  We all believe human beings are the top of the chain - every chain, we believe we can make life, control time, space, and gravity ... we have the ability to be gods ... so we must also be able to change the climate on the planet.  If we can't, then we are not the gods we believe we are.

So overwhelming consensus ... I don't know much, but I do know when I want to know something I find the least biased party (and it can be done) and read / listen to what they have to say.

The Father of the Gaia Theory, the original, the first to start us down this path ... the scientist renowned for his work, without which we would just be starting ... I think his analysis and thoughts are especially worth paying attention to. 

If you check back under LABELS and search global warming, you will find the larger article on this subject.  For now, a brief synopsis -

James Lovelock, a British scientist known as the Father of the Gaia Theory argues that approximately 550 gigatonnes of toxic emissions are released into the atmosphere each year.

(A gigatonne is a billion tons, or 550 billion tons)

That is a LOT of toxic emissions or emissions of any kind that contribute toward climate change.

We certainly should cut that down.

Then Lovelock goes on to add ... if every human, car, building, plane, factory, or product built by man was to disappear off the planet tomorrow, that would reduce the total output by 30 gigatonnes.

Climate change cannot be stopped.  It cannot be prevented.  It is an immutable fact - it will occur and there is nothing humans can do to change it.  We play a very small role in the larger order of climate change.

Even if Lovelock is off by 10-20%, human causation is very much in doubt, and any reasonable human being understands that.  What is not in doubt is change will happen as it has since earth's origins.

Lovelock doesn't say give up, instead he suggests we help those people who will be displaced by the rising oceans and temperature changes.

That is something DiCaprio and others haven't figured out yet.

I cannot imagine why they can't or haven't.  It seems self-evident to me.









Saturday, June 23, 2012

Global Warming Hysteria





GREEN DRIVEL EXPOSED






By Lorrie Goldstein ,Toronto Sun

Saturday, June 23, 2012



Two months ago, James Lovelock, the godfather of global warming, gave a startling interview to msnbc.com in which he acknowledged he had been unduly “alarmist” about climate change.

The implications were extraordinary.

Lovelock is a world-renowned scientist and environmentalist whose Gaia theory — that the Earth operates as a single, living organism — has had a profound impact on the development of global warming theory.

Unlike many “environmentalists,” who have degrees in political science, Lovelock, until his recent retirement at age 92, was a much-honoured working scientist and academic.

His inventions have been used by NASA, among many other scientific organizations.

Lovelock’s invention of the electron capture detector in 1957 first enabled scientists to measure CFCs (chlorofluorocarbons) and other pollutants in the atmosphere, leading, in many ways, to the birth of the modern environmental movement.

Having observed that global temperatures since the turn of the millennium have not gone up in the way computer-based climate models predicted, Lovelock acknowledged, “the problem is we don’t know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago.” Now, Lovelock has given a follow-up interview to the UK’s Guardian newspaper in which he delivers more bombshells sure to anger the global green movement, which for years worshipped his Gaia theory and apocalyptic predictions that billions would die from man-made climate change by the end of this century.

Lovelock still believes anthropogenic global warming is occurring and that mankind must lower its greenhouse gas emissions, but says it’s now clear the doomsday predictions, including his own (and Al Gore’s) were incorrect.

He responds to attacks on his revised views by noting that, unlike many climate scientists who fear a loss of government funding if they admit error, as a freelance scientist, he’s never been afraid to revise his theories in the face of new evidence. Indeed, that’s how science advances.

Among his observations to the Guardian:

(1) A long-time supporter of nuclear power as a way to lower greenhouse gas emissions, which has made him unpopular with environmentalists, Lovelock has now come out in favour of natural gas fracking (which environmentalists also oppose), as a low-polluting alternative to coal.

As Lovelock observes, “Gas is almost a give-away in the U.S. at the moment. They’ve gone for fracking in a big way. This is what makes me very cross with the greens for trying to knock it … Let’s be pragmatic and sensible and get Britain to switch everything to methane. We should be going mad on it.” (Kandeh Yumkella, co-head of a major United Nations program on sustainable energy, made similar arguments last week at a UN environmental conference in Rio de Janeiro, advocating the development of conventional and unconventional natural gas resources as a way to reduce deforestation and save millions of lives in the Third World.)

(2) Lovelock blasted greens for treating global warming like a religion.

“It just so happens that the green religion is now taking over from the Christian religion,” Lovelock observed. “I don’t think people have noticed that, but it’s got all the sort of terms that religions use … The greens use guilt. That just shows how religious greens are. You can’t win people round by saying they are guilty for putting (carbon dioxide) in the air.”

(3) Lovelock mocks the idea modern economies can be powered by wind turbines.

As he puts it, “so-called ‘sustainable development’ … is meaningless drivel … We rushed into renewable energy without any thought. The schemes are largely hopelessly inefficient and unpleasant. I personally can’t stand windmills at any price.”

(4) Finally, about claims “the science is settled” on global warming: “One thing that being a scientist has taught me is that you can never be certain about anything. You never know the truth. You can only approach it and hope to get a bit nearer to it each time. You iterate towards the truth. You don’t know it.”








global warming

Saturday, January 28, 2012

Global Hysteria: No Need to Panic About Warming






Wall Street Journal
January 27, 2012

There's no compelling scientific argument for drastic action to 'decarbonize' the world's economy.

Editor's Note: The following has been signed by the 16 scientists listed at the end of the article:

A candidate for public office in any contemporary democracy may have to consider what, if anything, to do about "global warming." Candidates should understand that the oft-repeated claim that nearly all scientists demand that something dramatic be done to stop global warming is not true. In fact, a large and growing number of distinguished scientists and engineers do not agree that drastic actions on global warming are needed.

In September, Nobel Prize-winning physicist Ivar Giaever, a supporter of President Obama in the last election, publicly resigned from the American Physical Society (APS) with a letter that begins: "I did not renew [my membership] because I cannot live with the [APS policy] statement: 'The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth's physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.' In the APS it is OK to discuss whether the mass of the proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible?"

In spite of a multidecade international campaign to enforce the message that increasing amounts of the "pollutant" carbon dioxide will destroy civilization, large numbers of scientists, many very prominent, share the opinions of Dr. Giaever. And the number of scientific "heretics" is growing with each passing year. The reason is a collection of stubborn scientific facts.

Perhaps the most inconvenient fact is the lack of global warming for well over 10 years now. This is known to the warming establishment, as one can see from the 2009 "Climategate" email of climate scientist Kevin Trenberth: "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't." But the warming is only missing if one believes computer models where so-called feedbacks involving water vapor and clouds greatly amplify the small effect of CO2.

The lack of warming for more than a decade—indeed, the smaller-than-predicted warming over the 22 years since the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) began issuing projections—suggests that computer models have greatly exaggerated how much warming additional CO2 can cause. Faced with this embarrassment, those promoting alarm have shifted their drumbeat from warming to weather extremes, to enable anything unusual that happens in our chaotic climate to be ascribed to CO2.

The fact is that CO2 is not a pollutant. CO2 is a colorless and odorless gas, exhaled at high concentrations by each of us, and a key component of the biosphere's life cycle. Plants do so much better with more CO2 that greenhouse operators often increase the CO2 concentrations by factors of three or four to get better growth. This is no surprise since plants and animals evolved when CO2 concentrations were about 10 times larger than they are today. Better plant varieties, chemical fertilizers and agricultural management contributed to the great increase in agricultural yields of the past century, but part of the increase almost certainly came from additional CO2 in the atmosphere.

Although the number of publicly dissenting scientists is growing, many young scientists furtively say that while they also have serious doubts about the global-warming message, they are afraid to speak up for fear of not being promoted—or worse. They have good reason to worry. In 2003, Dr. Chris de Freitas, the editor of the journal Climate Research, dared to publish a peer-reviewed article with the politically incorrect (but factually correct) conclusion that the recent warming is not unusual in the context of climate changes over the past thousand years. The international warming establishment quickly mounted a determined campaign to have Dr. de Freitas removed from his editorial job and fired from his university position. Fortunately, Dr. de Freitas was able to keep his university job.

This is not the way science is supposed to work, but we have seen it before—for example, in the frightening period when Trofim Lysenko hijacked biology in the Soviet Union. Soviet biologists who revealed that they believed in genes, which Lysenko maintained were a bourgeois fiction, were fired from their jobs. Many were sent to the gulag and some were condemned to death.

Why is there so much passion about global warming, and why has the issue become so vexing that the American Physical Society, from which Dr. Giaever resigned a few months ago, refused the seemingly reasonable request by many of its members to remove the word "incontrovertible" from its description of a scientific issue? There are several reasons, but a good place to start is the old question "cui bono?" Or the modern update, "Follow the money."

Alarmism over climate is of great benefit to many, providing government funding for academic research and a reason for government bureaucracies to grow. Alarmism also offers an excuse for governments to raise taxes, taxpayer-funded subsidies for businesses that understand how to work the political system, and a lure for big donations to charitable foundations promising to save the planet. Lysenko and his team lived very well, and they fiercely defended their dogma and the privileges it brought them.

Speaking for many scientists and engineers who have looked carefully and independently at the science of climate, we have a message to any candidate for public office: There is no compelling scientific argument for drastic action to "decarbonize" the world's economy. Even if one accepts the inflated climate forecasts of the IPCC, aggressive greenhouse-gas control policies are not justified economically.

A recent study of a wide variety of policy options by Yale economist William Nordhaus showed that nearly the highest benefit-to-cost ratio is achieved for a policy that allows 50 more years of economic growth unimpeded by greenhouse gas controls. This would be especially beneficial to the less-developed parts of the world that would like to share some of the same advantages of material well-being, health and life expectancy that the fully developed parts of the world enjoy now. Many other policy responses would have a negative return on investment. And it is likely that more CO2 and the modest warming that may come with it will be an overall benefit to the planet.

If elected officials feel compelled to "do something" about climate, we recommend supporting the excellent scientists who are increasing our understanding of climate with well-designed instruments on satellites, in the oceans and on land, and in the analysis of observational data. The better we understand climate, the better we can cope with its ever-changing nature, which has complicated human life throughout history. However, much of the huge private and government investment in climate is badly in need of critical review.

Every candidate should support rational measures to protect and improve our environment, but it makes no sense at all to back expensive programs that divert resources from real needs and are based on alarming but untenable claims of "incontrovertible" evidence.

Claude Allegre, former director of the Institute for the Study of the Earth, University of Paris; J. Scott Armstrong, cofounder of the Journal of Forecasting and the International Journal of Forecasting; Jan Breslow, head of the Laboratory of Biochemical Genetics and Metabolism, Rockefeller University; Roger Cohen, fellow, American Physical Society; Edward David, member, National Academy of Engineering and National Academy of Sciences; William Happer, professor of physics, Princeton; Michael Kelly, professor of technology, University of Cambridge, U.K.; William Kininmonth, former head of climate research at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Richard Lindzen, professor of atmospheric sciences, MIT; James McGrath, professor of chemistry, Virginia Technical University; Rodney Nichols, former president and CEO of the New York Academy of Sciences; Burt Rutan, aerospace engineer, designer of Voyager and SpaceShipOne; Harrison H. Schmitt, Apollo 17 astronaut and former U.S. senator; Nir Shaviv, professor of astrophysics, Hebrew University, Jerusalem; Henk Tennekes, former director, Royal Dutch Meteorological Service; Antonio Zichichi, president of the World Federation of Scientists, Geneva.










global

Wednesday, November 23, 2011




November 22nd, 2011
The Telegraph



Breaking news: two years after the Climategate, a further batch of emails has been leaked onto the internet by a person – or persons – unknown. And as before, they show the "scientists" at the heart of the Man-Made Global Warming industry in a most unflattering light. Michael Mann, Phil Jones, Ben Santer, Tom Wigley, Kevin Trenberth, Keith Briffa – all your favourite Climategate characters are here, once again caught red-handed in a series of emails exaggerating the extent of Anthropogenic Global Warming, while privately admitting to one another that the evidence is nowhere near as a strong as they'd like it to be.

In other words, what these emails confirm is that the great man-made global warming scare is not about science but about political activism. This, it seems, is what motivated the whistleblower 'FOIA 2011' (or "thief", as the usual suspects at RealClimate will no doubt prefer to tar him or her) to go public.

As FOIA 2011 puts it when introducing the selected highlights, culled from a file of 220,000 emails:

“Over 2.5 billion people live on less than $2 a day.”

“Every day nearly 16.000 children die from hunger and related causes.”

“One dollar can save a life” — the opposite must also be true.

“Poverty is a death sentence.”

“Nations must invest $37 trillion in energy technologies by 2030 to stabilize
greenhouse gas emissions at sustainable levels.”

Today’s decisions should be based on all the information we can get, not on
hiding the decline.

FOIA 2011 is right, of course. If you're going to bomb the global economy back to the dark ages with environmental tax and regulation, if you're going to favour costly, landscape-blighting, inefficient renewables over real, abundant, relatively cheap energy that works like shale gas and oil, if you're going to cause food riots and starvation in the developing world by giving over farmland (and rainforests) to biofuel production, then at the very least you it owe to the world to base your policies on sound, transparent, evidence-based science rather than on the politicised, disingenuous junk churned out by the charlatans at the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

You'll find the full taster menu of delights here at Tall Bloke's website. Shrub Niggurath is on the case too. As is the Air Vent.

I particularly like the ones expressing deep reservations about the narrative put about by the IPCC:

/// The IPCC Process ///

<1939> Thorne/MetO:

Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical
troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a
wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous. We need to communicate the
uncertainty and be honest. Phil, hopefully we can find time to discuss these
further if necessary [...]

<3066> Thorne:

I also think the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it
which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run.

<1611> Carter:

It seems that a few people have a very strong say, and no matter how much
talking goes on beforehand, the big decisions are made at the eleventh hour by
a select core group.

<2884> Wigley:

Mike, The Figure you sent is very deceptive [...] there have been a number of
dishonest presentations of model results by individual authors and by IPCC [...]

<4755> Overpeck:

The trick may be to decide on the main message and use that to guid[e] what’s
included and what is left out.

<3456> Overpeck:

I agree w/ Susan [Solomon] that we should try to put more in the bullet about
“Subsequent evidence” [...] Need to convince readers that there really has been
an increase in knowledge – more evidence. What is it?

And here's our friend Phil Jones, apparently trying to stuff the IPCC working groups with scientists favourable to his cause, while shutting out dissenting voices.

<0714> Jones:

Getting people we know and trust [into IPCC] is vital – hence my comment about
the tornadoes group.

<3205> Jones:

Useful ones [for IPCC] might be Baldwin, Benestad (written on the solar/cloud
issue – on the right side, i.e anti-Svensmark), Bohm, Brown, Christy (will be
have to involve him ?)

Here is what looks like an outrageous case of government – the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs – actually putting pressure on climate "scientists" to talk up their message of doom and gloom in order to help the government justify its swingeing climate policies:

<2495> Humphrey/DEFRA:

I can’t overstate the HUGE amount of political interest in the project as a
message that the Government can give on climate change to help them tell their
story. They want the story to be a very strong one and don’t want to be made
to look foolish.

Here is a gloriously revealing string of emails in which activists and global warming research groups discuss how best to manipulate reality so that climate change looks more scary and dangerous than it really is:

<3655> Singer/WWF:

we as an NGO working on climate policy need such a document pretty soon for the
public and for informed decision makers in order to get a) a debate started and
b) in order to get into the media the context between climate
extremes/desasters/costs and finally the link between weather extremes and
energy

<0445> Torok/CSIRO:

[...] idea of looking at the implications of climate change for what he termed
“global icons” [...] One of these suggested icons was the Great Barrier Reef [...]
It also became apparent that there was always a local “reason” for the
destruction – cyclones, starfish, fertilizers [...] A perception of an
“unchanging” environment leads people to generate local explanations for coral
loss based on transient phenomena, while not acknowledging the possibility of
systematic damage from long-term climatic/environmental change [...] Such a
project could do a lot to raise awareness of threats to the reef from climate
change

<4141> Minns/Tyndall Centre:

In my experience, global warming freezing is already a bit of a public
relations problem with the media

Kjellen:

I agree with Nick that climate change might be a better labelling than global
warming

Pierrehumbert:

What kind of circulation change could lock Europe into deadly summer heat waves
like that of last summer? That’s the sort of thing we need to think about.

I'll have a deeper dig through the emails this afternoon and see what else I come up with. If I were a climate activist off to COP 17 in Durban later this month, I don't think I'd be feeling a very happy little drowning Polie, right now. In fact I might be inclined to think that the game was well and truly up.













global

Make Mine Freedom - 1948


American Form of Government

Who's on First? Certainly isn't the Euro.