‘Iran can cope with oil as low as $5’
TEHRAN (Agencies): Iran could live with an oil price as low as $5 per barrel, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying on Sunday, in comments at odds with the views of the IMF and economic analysts.
Like other major crude exporters, Iran is facing declining revenue as global oil prices have tumbled by two-thirds to $50 per barrel since July amidst a world financial crisis, after years of windfall gains that have boosted reserves.
But Ahmadinejad, who is expected to run again in next year's presidential election, said the oil price fall would have no major impact on the economy of the world's fourth-largest crude producer, official media reported. "There was a time when the country managed on $9 a barrel.
We can do it even if oil falls to $5," he told reporters at a media fair in Tehran, state television said, without giving detail on how his government would handle such a situation. Oil tumbled below $10 a barrel in 1998.
"Just as the world banking crisis has had no impact on Iran's economy, neither will the oil price have that much impact," the official IRNA news agency quoted him as saying. U.S. crude traded at just below $50 per barrel on Friday and analysts say Iran will almost certainly have to cut spending in the 2009-10 budget unless the price bounces back to $70 or more, posing a challenge for Ahmadinejad during an election year.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in a report in August that if the price of Iranian crude fell to $75 a barrel, Iran would face a current account deficit in the medium term that would be tough to sustain due to its financial isolation.
Iran is under tightening U.N. and U.S. sanctions over its refusal to halt sensitive nuclear work the West suspects is aimed at making bombs, a charge Tehran denies. Earlier this month, when crude still traded at close to $70, a senior central bank official warned that Iran's economy would "face big problems" if the average oil price fell below a level of around $60 a barrel over the next four months.
But Ahmadinejad, who is facing growing criticism at home over his economic management and failure to rein in double-digit inflation, said planned reforms would limit the fall-out. "Contrary to some opinions ... that the drop in the oil price would have a deep impact on Iran's economy, through plans and projects it would almost have no impact ... particularly with the government's overhaul that is under way," he said.
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I say - Give Ahmadinejad what he wants ... $5 a barrel.
The article claimed oil fell below $10 a barrel in 1998. I am unsure when that happened - I recall ONE MOMENT, very briefly, for a couple days where gas fell to 89 cents a gallon.
Low gasoline prices does not mean we will go back to the gas guzzlers. The US has moved itself far from where it was two years ago ... we will keep moving ahead toward energy independence. The drop in prices will only make the change easier.
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